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College Basketball Betting: Analyzing the Atlantic 10

November 7, 2008

Atlantic 10 basketball betting junkies profited from the league’s 83-64-2 non-conference ATS mark last season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2007/08 season are in parentheses:

 

XAVIER (30-7 SU, 16-16-1 ATS, 16-16-1 O/U): The backcourt will be new but the frontcourt is loaded with plenty of talent and experience.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  7-6-1

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-7

Away Underdog:  1-0

Neutral site:   5-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Musketeers were 6-11-1 ATS in conference games last season.

Sports Betting Angle: Xavier was 3-7 as an away favorite in 2007/08.

 

TEMPLE (21-13 SU, 21-12-1 ATS, 12-22 O/U): Dionte Christmas (19.7 PPG), eyeing his third A-10 scoring championship, paces a solid Owls team.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-4-1

Home Underdog:  3-1

Away Favorite:  3-1

Away Underdog:  2-1

Neutral Site:   6-4

Sportsbook Buster: The Owls were 15-3-1 ATS in Atlantic 10 games.

Sports Betting Angle: Temple was 13-4 ATS with three of more days rest.

 

CHARLOTTE (20-14 SU, 19-12 ATS, 15-16 O/U): Nine of the top 10 players return, all but guaranteeing another 20-win season for the Niners.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-2

Home Underdog:  5-1

Away Favorite:  1-3

Away Underdog:  5-3

Neutral Site:   3-3

Sportsbook Buster: The 49ers were 10-3 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Charlotte was 13-5 as an underdog.

 

DAYTON (23-11 SU, 14-15 ATS, 18-11 O/U): The Flyers have just one senior on the roster but another 20-win season still looms.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  7-5

Home Underdog:  1-1

Away Favorite:  1-4

Away Underdog:  4-4

Neutral Site:   1-1

Sportsbook Buster: The “over” was 12-6 when the Flyers were favorites.

Sports Betting Angle: Dayton was 7-11 ATS in the conference.

 

ST. JOSEPH’S (21-13 SU, 19013 ATS, 14-18 O/U): Coach Phil Martelli will build around Ahmad Nevins (14.4 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and an experienced backcourt.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-4

Home Underdog:  1-0

Away Favorite:  3-3

Away Underdog:  5-2

Neutral Site:   6-4

Sportsbook Buster: The Hawks were 9-3 ATS outside the conference.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 15-7 when St. Joe’s was a favorite.

 

MASSACHUSETTS (25-11 SU, 17-16 ATS, 16-16-1 O/U): New Coach Derek Kellogg inherits an excellent backcourt and some enormous holes to fill up front.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-8

Home Underdog:  0-1

Away Favorite:  1-2

Away Underdog:  7-3

Neutral Site:   4-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Minutemen were 5-9 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: UMass was 7-3 as an away underdog.

 

LA SALLE (15-17 SU, 14-8-1 ATS, 14-9 O/U): Six of the top seven scorers return, led by Rodney Green (13.2 PPG).

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  1-2

Home Underdog:  1-4

Away Favorite:  0-0-1

Away Underdog:  8-1

Neutral Site:   4-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Explorers were 8-1-1 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: La Salle was 7-3 ATS on three or more days rest.

 

RICHMOND (16-15 SU, 16-10-2 ATS, 14-14 O/U): The Spiders were dealt a blow when it’s top player, Dan Geriot, tore an ACL, damaging Richmond’s chances for improvement.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-2-1

Home Underdog:  5-2

Away Favorite:  2-0

Away Underdog:  7-4-1

Neutral Site:   0-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Spiders were 9-4-1 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: Richmond was 10-2-1 ATS after a SU loss.

 

RHODE ISLAND (21-12 SU, 15-15-1 ATS, 19-12 O/U): The Rams lost their top scorer and floor leader so they’ll be hard-pressed to match last season’s success.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-6-1

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-3

Away Underdog:  3-3

Neutral Site:   2-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Rams were 4-12-1 ATS in conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: Rhode Island was 3-8 ATS after a SU victory.

 

SAINT LOUIS (16-15 SU, 13-14 ATS, 12-15 O/U): The Billikens have a slick backcourt but must improve an attack that was last in the conference in scoring in 2007/08.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  3-5

Home Underdog:  4-1

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  5-7

Neutral Site:   1-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Billikens were 5-9 ATS after a SU win.

Sports Betting Angle: Saint Louis was 5-9 ATS on two or fewer days rest.

 

GEORGE WASHINGTON (9-17 SU, 10-10 ATS, 10-10 O/U): The Colonials are still young but a year’s experience could signal a move up the standings.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-2

Home Underdog:  5-0

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  3-8

Neutral Site:   0-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Colonials were 7-2 ATS at home but 3-8 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: GW was 6-2 ATS after a pointspread win.

 

DUQUESNE (17-13 SU, 10-13-1 ATS, 9-14-1 O/U): The Dukes first winning season in 14 years last season could be their last for a while.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-5

Home Underdog:  0-1

Away Favorite:  3-2

Away Underdog:  2-3-1

Neutral Site:   1-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Dukes were 2-8-1 ATS after a SU defeat.

Sports Betting Angle: Duquesne was 3-7-1 ATS after a pointspread loss.

 

ST. BONAVENTURE (8-22 SU, 11-13 ATS, 12-11 O/U): With nine new faces on the roster, The Bonnies will be starting over…again.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  1-3

Home Underdog:  3-3

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  6-6

Neutral Site:   1-1

Sportsbook Buster: The “over” was 7-3 when the Bonnies played at home.

Sports Betting Angle: St. Bonaventure was 4-8 ATS after a pointspread defeat.

 

FORDHAM (12-17 SU, 8-17-1 ATS, 10-14-1 O/U): Disappointing a year ago, the Rams must replace all five starting seniors. That’s tough.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  1-7

Home Underdog:  2-0

Away Favorite:  2-0

Away Underdog:  3-7-1

Neutral Site:   0-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Rams were 3-8 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Fordham was 3-10-1 ATS after a pointspread loss.


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