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College Football Betting: Analyzing Conference USA

July 31, 2008

 

Only one Conference USA team, East Carolina, has enjoyed a winning pointspread record over the last eight seasons, so there are wagering opportunities here.  Teams listed in predicted order of finish with 2007 records, returning starters (RS)--including kickers--and returning lettermen (RL) in parenthesis:

 

CUSA EAST

EAST CAROLINA (8-5 SU, 8-5 ATS, 16 RS, 48 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  41-55

ATS: 50-44-1

HF:  11-11

HD:  10-10

AF:   7-7

AD:  20-12-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Pirates have been excellent in the role of an away underdog, the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: East Carolina has covered 11 of its last 12 meetings with Memphis, including five straight at home.

 

CENTRAL FLORIDA (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS, 14 RS, 37 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  45-51

ATS: 41-48

HF:  12-9

HD:   8-9

AF:   5-11

AD:  15-18

Sportsbook Buster: The Knights have been a risky proposition as a road favorite over the past eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Central Florida has covered four straight games against Marshall.

 

MEMPHIS (7-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, 15 RS, 52 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  45-51

ATS: 41-47-1

HF:  11-16

HD:  10-6

AF:   4-9

AD:  14-14-1

Sportsbook Buster: Like the Knights (see above) the Tigers have been clawless as a road favorite the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Memphis has covered seven of its last eight meetings with Tulane at home.

 

MARSHALL (3-9 SU, 4-6-1 ATS, 17 RS, 41 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  56-42

ATS: 36-50-4

HF:  13-15-2

HD:   6-1-1

AF:   6-13-1

AD:   8-20

Sportsbook Buster: At 14-33-1 ATS, the Thundering Herd has been one of the worst road teams in the country over the past eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Marshall is 6-1-1 as a home underdog the previous eight seasons.

 

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI (7-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, 10 RS, 41 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  60-40

ATS: 45-48-2

HF:  16-19

HD:   1-2

AF:  15-10-1

AD:   9-14

Sportsbook Buster: At 10-16 ATS the last eight seasons, the Golden Eagles have been a shaky bet on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: Southern Mississippi is a combined 17-2 ATS its last 19 meetings with Louisiana-Lafayette (3-0), Auburn (4-0), Alabama-Birmingham (4-1) and East Carolina (6-1).

 

ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM (2-10 SU, 6-5 ATS, 16 RS, 39 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  40-53

ATS: 44-44-1

HF:  11-16

HD:   8-3-1

AF:   4-9

AD:  21-15

Sportsbook Buster: The Blazers are 29-18-1 as an underdog the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: UAB has covered seven of its last eight games against Memphis.

 

CUSA WEST

TULSA (10-4 SU, 5-9 ATS, 14 RS, 40 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  46-54

ATS: 44-50-2

HF:  10-10

HD:  10-10-1

AF:   9-8-1

AD:  12-19

Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Hurricane is 12-19 as a road underdog the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Tulsa has covered three straight games against Tulane.

 

UTEP (4-8 SU, 7-4 ATS, 12 RS, 46 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  39-57

ATS: 40-49

HF:   9-11

HD:  10-9

AF:   4-8

AD:  17-18

Sportsbook Buster: The Miners are 9-0 as road underdogs trying to avenge a defeat to the same team from a year earlier.

Sports Betting Angle: UTEP is 10-5-1 as an underdog the past four seasons.

 

HOUSTON (8-5 SU, 4-8 ATS, 12 RS, 49 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  42-55

ATS: 39-54-1

HF:  12-16

HD:   7-9

AF:   6-5-1

AD:  12-19

Sportsbook Buster: The Cougars are just 19-28 as an underdog the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Houston has covered five consecutive games against Tulane.

 

RICE (3-9 SU, 5-6 ATS, 16 RS, 53 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  34-59

ATS: 48-53-1

HF:   8-7

HD:  14-15-1

AF:   3-8

AD:  20-19

Sportsbook Buster: The Owls are 19-2-1 as a conference home underdog their last 22 games in that situation.

Sports Betting Angle: Rice has covered five straight games with UTEP.

 

SMU (1-11 SU, 4-8 ATS, 13 RS, 41 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  25-68

ATS: 41-51

HF:   8-10

HD:  13-15

AF:   3-4

AD:  17-22

Sportsbook Buster: The Mustangs are 6-1 ATS the week after playing Tulsa.

Sports Betting Angle: SMU is 1-9 ATS on the road against non-conference opponents.

 

TULANE (4-8 SU, 5-6 ATS, 15 RS, 48 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  37-57

ATS: 40-47-1

HF:   7-4

HD:  11-17-1

AF:   4-3

AD:  17-22

Sportsbook Buster: The Green Wave is just 28-39-1 the last eight years as an underdog.

Sports Betting Angle: Tulane has covered six of its last seven meetings with SMU.

 

 

Legend:

SU  = Straight Up                        

ATS = Against the Spread                 

HF  = Home Favorite

HD  = Home Underdog

AF  = Away Favorite

AD  = Away Underdog

 

This is the eighth installment of an 11-part preview series.

Next: College Football Betting: Analyzing the Mountain West Conference.


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