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College Football Betting: Analyzing the Pac 10

July 29, 2008

Pac-10 teams were 21-14 ATS outside their conference last season but don’t appear to be as strong, overall, this year. Teams are listed in predicted order of finish with 2007 records, returning starters (RS)—-including kickers--and returning lettermen (RL) in parentheses:

 

USC (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS, 11 RS, 46 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  81-21

ATS: 57-45

HF:  24-21

HD:   1-3

AF:  20-16

AD:   6-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Trojans are 54-36 ATS during Coach Pete Carroll’s seven-year tenure in Troy.

Sports Betting Angle: USC has covered five of its last six meetings with Notre Dame, including three straight home games.

 

CALIFORNIA (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS, 12 RS, 40 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  54-44

ATS: 47-48-1

HF:  15-18

HD:   6-7

AF:   8-11

AD:  14-10-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS when facing a Pac-10 opponent after a non-conference game.

Sports Betting Angle: Cal has covered four straight at home against Arizona State.

 

ARIZONA STATE (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, 13 RS, 39 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  56-43

ATS: 47-47-2

HF:  24-16

HD:   6-3-1

AF:   8-7

AD:   7-17-1

Sportsbook Buster: Since 2000, the Sun Devils are a solid 30-19-1 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Arizona State has covered four straight games at Washington State.

 

OREGON (9-4 SU, 4-8 ATS, 12 RS, 53 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  67-32

ATS: 55-41

HF:  23-19

HD:   3-2

AF:  12-9

AD:  13-7

Sportsbook Buster: The Ducks are 19-11 ATS versus non-conference foes the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Oregon has covered six straight games against Stanford.

 

ARIZONA (5-7 SU, 6-5 ATS, 13 RS, 39 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  33-59

ATS: 40-46-1

HF:   3-14

HD:  14-15-1

AF:   2-0

AD:  21-17

Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats are a pathetic 3-14 as a home favorite the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Arizona has covered the last five meetings with Washington State.

 

UCLA (6-7 SU, 5-6 ATS, 9 RS, 41 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  56-43

ATS: 52-42-5

HF:  18-16-4

HD:   9-2

AF:   8-14

AD:  12-7-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Bruins are 21-9-1 as underdogs the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: UCLA has covered five in a row against both Arizona State and Oregon State.

 

OREGON STATE (9-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 10 RS, 45 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  63-36

ATS: 51-40-1

HF:  21-11-1

HD:   4-5

AF:   7-11

AD:  14-11

Sportsbook Buster: The Beavers are a solid 21-11-1 as a home favorite over the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Oregon State is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games versus Arizona.

 

WASHINGTON (4-9 SU, 6-7 ATS, 13 RS, 30 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  44-52

ATS: 39-54-3

HF:   8-20-1

HD:  12-9

AF:   3-5-1

AD:  14-17-1

Sportsbook Buster: At 8-20-1, the Huskies have been a liability as a home favorite the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Washington has covered four straight games at rival Washington State.

 

STANFORD (4-8 SU, 5-7 ATS, 16 RS, 46 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  34-57

ATS: 46-42-2

HF:  10-8

HD:  14-15

AF:   3-2-1

AD:  19-16-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Cardinal has covered three straight against Cal in The Game.

Sports Betting Angle: Stanford has covered five of its last six games against San Jose State.

 

WASHINGTON STATE (5-7 SU, 6-6 ATS, 14 RS, 36 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  54-41

ATS: 46-46

HF:  10-16

HD:  10-6

AF:  11-6

AD:  13-12

Sportsbook Buster: The Cougars have covered seven straight games against UCLA.

Sports Betting Angle: Washington State is 6-1 ATS in it6s last seven games versus Cal.

 

 

Legend:

SU  = Straight Up                        

ATS = Against the Spread                 

HF  = Home Favorite

HD  = Home Underdog

AF  = Away Favorite

AD  = Away Underdog

 

This is the fifth installment of an 11-part preview series.

Next: College Football Betting: Analyzing the Big East.


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